The "Gray Rhino Incident" internet meme that appears frequently in major barrage videos recently has become a new popular vocabulary. Many netizens are confused about it. In order to help them understand, we have compiled the following content.
Black swan and gray rhino events have become two important concepts in the field of contemporary risk management.Although there are huge differences between them, they all have an impact on our lives and future that cannot be ignored.
The most striking thing about black swan events is their extremely rare and unpredictable nature.Before the 17th century, Europeans generally believed that the color of swans was only white, and this became their consensus.However, when the first black swan appeared, this concept was completely overturned.The emergence of black swans makes people realize that unpredictable major events always exist, and they may suddenly come and change the trajectory of our lives in a short period of time.Black swan events remind us not to rely too much on experience and common sense, nor to be overconfident, because the world is inherently changeable and we need to always remain alert.
Unlike the black swan, the gray rhino event is a potential crisis with high probability and huge impact.Gray rhinos are large and slow-moving, but they are often noticed by people.However, because it is so common and taken for granted, we often ignore its existence.For example, the sinking of the Titanic, which was hailed as the "unsinkable dream liner" at the time, failed to escape the impact of the iceberg.Global climate change is also a clear gray rhino event, and despite a wealth of evidence and warnings, many people still ignore its importance and urgency.
In his book - Gray Rhino: How to Cope with a High-Probability Crisis - Michelle Walker provides an in-depth analysis of the nature and impact of the gray rhino incident.He pointed out that we can no longer be ignored by the gray rhinoceros incident, but should be aware of the huge risks that gray rhinoceros may bring and take active actions to deal with it.Walker's book brought the gray rhinoceros incident to global attention and prompted deeper thinking about the potential crisis.
In real life, whether it is a black swan or a gray rhino incident, we must face it and handle it appropriately.For black swan events, we need to remain cautious and flexible, and adapt and respond to unknown challenges in a timely manner.When dealing with gray rhino incidents, we can no longer be fooled by normalized risks, but should focus on risks that seem distant but actually have a huge impact on us.
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